Football · England Championship · 09/09, 21:00

Prediction: Charlton vs QPR

Team pages: Charlton · QPR

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Charlton1.17
QPR1.41
1X2
30% 28% 41%
Charlton Draw QPR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlton 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWWWDL
QPR 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWDWWL
Head-to-head
Charlton 1–3–2 QPR (6 last)
  • Charlton0-0QPR
  • QPR3-1Charlton
  • Charlton1-1QPR
  • Charlton1-0QPR
  • QPR2-2Charlton
  • QPR2-1Charlton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlton 1503 · QPR 1538
CharltonDrawQPR
Our model30%29%41%
Market31%28%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours QPR: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CharltonQPR
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.12.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton 132 QPR

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/02/26
England Championship
Charlton0-0
HT 0-0
QPR
30/08/25
England Championship
QPR3-1
HT 1-0
Charlton
09/08/22
England EFL Cup
Charlton1-1
HT 0-0
QPR
27/06/20
England Championship
Charlton1-0
HT 1-0
QPR
21/12/19
England Championship
QPR2-2
HT 1-0
Charlton
09/04/16
England Championship
QPR2-1
HT 1-0
Charlton

Standings · England Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Swansea 5320 7111
2 Middlesbrough 5311 8510
3 QPR 5311 7410
4 Bristol City 5311 9710
5 West Brom 5311 8610
6 Charlton 5311 6710
7 Millwall 5302 1089
8 West Ham 5221 1178
9 Wolverhampton 4211 1187
10 Wrexham 5131 646
11 Birmingham 4130 546
12 Norwich 5203 886
13 Stoke 5203 896
14 Portsmouth 5203 786
15 Sheff Utd 5131 676
16 Blackburn 5122 675
17 Lincoln City 5122 465
17 Watford 5122 465
19 Southampton 5221 1164
20 Derby 5113 5104
21 Bolton 5113 494
22 Cardiff 5032 693
23 Preston 5104 5103
24 Burnley 5023 6122

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharltonQPR
Derby 2-1 W 2-3 L
Swansea 1-3 L 1-2 L
Ipswich 1-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Charlton (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlton

LDLWLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Stoke
England Championship
0-4 0-4 35 L
02/09 West Brom
England Championship
0-0 1-1 32 D
29/08 Preston
England Championship
0-0 1-0 72 W
22/08 West Ham
England Championship
1-0 2-1 45 W
15/08 Derby
England Championship
0-1 2-1 53 W
02/05 Swansea
England Championship
0-0 1-3 40 L
25/04 Hull
England Championship
1-1 2-1 53 W
22/04 Ipswich
England Championship
1-1 1-2 14 L
18/04 Sheff Wed
England Championship
0-0 1-1 23 D
11/04 Preston
England Championship
1-1 1-2 75 L

QPR

DLLLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Middlesbrough
England Championship
0-1 0-1 123 L
02/09 Cardiff
England Championship
1-0 2-1 32 W
29/08 Blackburn
England Championship
0-0 2-1 35 W
22/08 Bolton
England Championship
0-0 0-0 93 D
15/08 Portsmouth
England Championship
3-1 3-1 31 W
02/05 Ipswich
England Championship
0-2 0-3 23 L
25/04 Derby
England Championship
1-1 2-3 104 L
21/04 Swansea
England Championship
0-1 1-2 44 L
18/04 Millwall
England Championship
0-2 0-2 104 L
11/04 Bristol City
England Championship
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlton vs QPR?

According to our model, the most likely result is an QPR win (41%). Probabilities: Charlton 30%, draw 28%, QPR 41%.

How many goals are expected in Charlton vs QPR?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Charlton 1.17 · QPR 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlton vs QPR?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.