Football · England Championship · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: QPR vs Preston
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
QPR1.78
Preston1.07
1X2
QPR
Draw
Preston
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
QPR
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Preston
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
QPR
3–2–1
Preston
(6 last)
- Preston1-1QPR
- QPR1-1Preston
- Preston1-2QPR
- QPR2-1Preston
- Preston1-0QPR
- QPR1-0Preston
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · QPR 1534 · Preston 1404
| QPR | Draw | Preston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours QPR (rating 1534 vs 1404).
- H2H favours QPR: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| QPR | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · QPR 3–2–1 Preston
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Championship | Preston | 1-1 HT 0-0 | QPR |
| 09/08/25 England Championship | QPR | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Preston |
| 18/04/25 England Championship | Preston | 1-2 HT 1-0 | QPR |
| 21/12/24 England Championship | QPR | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Preston |
| 09/08/24 Mexico Champion of Champions | Preston | 1-0 HT 2-0 | QPR |
| 20/04/24 England Championship | QPR | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Preston |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheff Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | QPR | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Blackburn | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Bolton | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: QPR (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
QPR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | West Brom England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Cardiff England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Portsmouth England Championship |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ipswich England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Derby England Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Swansea England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Preston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in QPR vs Preston?
According to our model, the most likely result is a QPR win (53%). Probabilities: QPR 53%, draw 25%, Preston 22%.
How many goals are expected in QPR vs Preston?
The model expects 2.85 goals (QPR 1.78 · Preston 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Preston?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.