Football · England Championship · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Team pages: Portsmouth · Blackburn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Portsmouth1.42
Blackburn1.08
1X2
Portsmouth
Draw
Blackburn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Portsmouth
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Blackburn
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portsmouth
2–1–3
Blackburn
(6 last)
- Blackburn1-1Portsmouth
- Portsmouth2-1Blackburn
- Portsmouth1-0Blackburn
- Blackburn3-0Portsmouth
- Portsmouth1-2Blackburn
- Blackburn3-0Portsmouth
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portsmouth 1486 · Blackburn 1497
| Portsmouth | Draw | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blackburn: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portsmouth | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portsmouth 2–1–3 Blackburn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Portsmouth |
| 13/12/25 England Championship | Portsmouth | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Blackburn |
| 29/03/25 England Championship | Portsmouth | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Blackburn |
| 15/01/25 England Championship | Blackburn | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Portsmouth |
| 13/02/18 England League 1 | Portsmouth | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Blackburn |
| 21/10/17 England League 1 | Blackburn | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Portsmouth |
Standings · England Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheff Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portsmouth | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| QPR | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Coventry | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Leicester | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portsmouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Cardiff England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Lincoln City England Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | QPR England Championship |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Blackburn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Millwall England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 08/09 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portsmouth win (44%). Probabilities: Portsmouth 44%, draw 29%, Blackburn 28%.
How many goals are expected in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Portsmouth 1.42 · Blackburn 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.