Prediction: Millwall vs Lincoln City
Team pages: Millwall · Lincoln City
| Millwall | Draw | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millwall | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Millwall | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Preston | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| West Ham | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Middlesbrough | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Blackburn | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Bolton | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Southampton | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Bristol City | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Millwall (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millwall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Swansea England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | West Ham England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Bolton England Championship |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Wrexham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Southampton England Championship |
1-2 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Norwich England Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Lincoln City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | West Ham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Swansea England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Bolton England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Portsmouth England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millwall vs Lincoln City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millwall win (56%). Probabilities: Millwall 56%, draw 25%, Lincoln City 19%.
How many goals are expected in Millwall vs Lincoln City?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Millwall 1.79 · Lincoln City 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Lincoln City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.