Prediction: Watford vs Charlton
Team pages: Watford · Charlton
- Watford1-1Charlton
- Charlton1-0Watford
- Watford5-0Charlton
- Charlton1-0Watford
- Charlton3-1Watford
| Watford | Draw | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlton (rating 1416 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Charlton: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Watford | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Watford 1–1–3 Charlton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Championship | Watford | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Charlton |
| 09/08/25 England Championship | Charlton | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Watford |
| 17/01/15 England Championship | Watford | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Charlton |
| 13/09/14 England Championship | Charlton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Watford |
| 29/04/14 England Championship | Charlton | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Watford |
Standings · England Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheff Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Watford | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Burnley | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Bristol City | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Stoke | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Preston | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| West Brom | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| West Ham | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Charlton (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Watford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Cardiff England Championship |
0-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Burnley England Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Stoke England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Southampton England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Charlton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Burnley England Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cardiff England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Stoke England Championship |
0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | West Ham England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Watford vs Charlton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Watford win (40%). Probabilities: Watford 40%, draw 28%, Charlton 32%.
How many goals are expected in Watford vs Charlton?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Watford 1.38 · Charlton 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Charlton?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.