Football · England Championship · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: West Brom vs Blackburn

Team pages: West Brom · Blackburn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

West Brom1.47

Blackburn0.93

1X2

49% 28% 23%

West Brom Draw Blackburn

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

West Brom 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWDLL

Blackburn 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLWDW

Head-to-head

West Brom 2–2–2 Blackburn (6 last)

Blackburn0-0West Brom
West Brom1-0Blackburn
West Brom0-2Blackburn
Blackburn0-0West Brom
West Brom4-1Blackburn
Blackburn2-1West Brom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Brom 1490 · Blackburn 1470

	West Brom	Draw	Blackburn
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Brom	Blackburn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.30

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +59’	1.85	3.30	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Brom 2–2–2 Blackburn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Championship	Blackburn	0-0 HT 0-0	West Brom
09/08/25 England Championship	West Brom	1-0 HT 1-0	Blackburn
12/02/25 England Championship	West Brom	0-2 HT 0-0	Blackburn
23/10/24 England Championship	Blackburn	0-0 HT 0-0	West Brom
13/01/24 England Championship	West Brom	4-1 HT 3-0	Blackburn
05/08/23 England Championship	Blackburn	2-1 HT 2-0	West Brom

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15	7	20
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17	12	18
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23	12	16
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15	13	16
5	Wolverhampton	8	4	2	2	15	11	14
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11	8	14
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13	11	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16	15	14
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10	9	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12	13	14
11	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20	10	13
12	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8	11	13
13	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14	13	12
14	Sheff Utd	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
15	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10	13	11
16	Lincoln City	9	3	2	4	7	11	11
17	Bolton	9	3	1	5	12	17	10
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17	19	9
19	Portsmouth	8	2	2	4	9	11	8
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7	14	8
21	Cardiff	9	1	4	4	11	14	7
22	Burnley	9	1	4	4	13	17	7
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8	15	6
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8	16	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Brom	Blackburn
Wolverhampton	0-1 L	2-2 D
QPR	1-1 D	1-2 L
Middlesbrough	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Blackburn (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Brom

LWWLDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	QPR England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-0	1-3	6	1	L
23/08	Burnley England Championship	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Norwich England Championship	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
02/05	Sheff Wed England Championship	0-2	1-2	2	5	L

Blackburn

LDWLDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Cardiff England Championship	2-0	2-1	11	1	W
19/09	Portsmouth England Championship	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Millwall England Championship	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
08/09	Sheff Utd England Championship	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
05/09	Preston England Championship	0-2	1-2	11	6	L
01/09	Lincoln City England Championship	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
29/08	QPR England Championship	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
22/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/08	Wolverhampton England Championship	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
02/05	Leicester England Championship	0-0	0-1	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Brom vs Blackburn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Brom win (49%). Probabilities: West Brom 49%, draw 28%, Blackburn 23%.

How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Blackburn?

The model expects 2.4 goals (West Brom 1.47 · Blackburn 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Blackburn?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.