Football · England Championship · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: Charlton vs Norwich

Team pages: Charlton · Norwich

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Charlton1.13
Norwich1.49
1X2
28% 27% 45%
Charlton Draw Norwich
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlton 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLDDLDDL
Norwich 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Charlton 1–5 Norwich (6 last)
  • Charlton0-1Norwich
  • Norwich1-0Charlton
  • Charlton0-1Norwich
  • Charlton1-0Norwich
  • Norwich4-1Charlton
  • Charlton0-2Norwich
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlton 1447 · Norwich 1465
CharltonDrawNorwich
Our model28%28%44%
Market28%26%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Norwich: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CharltonNorwich
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.81.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.51.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton 1–0–5 Norwich

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
England Championship
Charlton0-1
HT 0-1
Norwich
26/12/25
England Championship
Norwich1-0
HT 0-0
Charlton
09/01/22
England FA Cup
Charlton0-1
HT 0-0
Norwich
28/07/18
Club Friendly List
Charlton1-0
HT 0-0
Norwich
22/08/17
England EFL Cup
Norwich4-1
HT 1-1
Charlton
25/07/17
Club Friendly List
Charlton0-2
HT 0-1
Norwich

Standings · England Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Swansea 11722 16823
2 West Ham 11641 301222
3 Middlesbrough 11641 221622
4 Birmingham 11551 201120
5 West Brom 11623 151220
6 Stoke 11614 181619
7 Southampton 11632 211017
8 Wolverhampton 10523 181517
9 QPR 11452 151217
10 Blackburn 11434 171615
11 Sheff Utd 11434 151415
12 Millwall 11434 181815
13 Portsmouth 10424 131314
14 Wrexham 11353 151614
15 Bolton 11425 151814
16 Bristol City 11425 121514
17 Charlton 11353 101514
18 Lincoln City 11335 91912
19 Cardiff 11254 181711
20 Watford 11326 101911
21 Norwich 11308 17219
22 Burnley 11155 16218
23 Derby 11137 9206
24 Preston 11119 9244

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharltonNorwich
Burnley 2-2 D 4-1 W
Portsmouth 0-0 D 0-1 L
Stoke 0-4 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Norwich (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlton

WWDLDDLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Watford
England Championship
0-0 0-2 38 L
13/10 Burnley
England Championship
0-1 2-2 73 D
10/10 Bristol City
England Championship
1-1 1-1 53 D
19/09 Cardiff
England Championship
1-2 1-3 18 L
12/09 Portsmouth
England Championship
0-0 0-0 72 D
09/09 QPR
England Championship
0-0 0-0 52 D
05/09 Stoke
England Championship
0-4 0-4 35 L
02/09 West Brom
England Championship
0-0 1-1 32 D
29/08 Preston
England Championship
0-0 1-0 72 W
22/08 West Ham
England Championship
1-0 2-1 45 W

Norwich

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Portsmouth
England Championship
0-0 0-1 15 L
14/10 Southampton
England Championship
0-0 0-1 54 L
10/10 Swansea
England Championship
1-0 1-2 22 L
20/09 Bolton
England Championship
2-2 3-4 40 L
12/09 Middlesbrough
England Championship
1-3 3-4 53 L
09/09 Birmingham
England Championship
2-0 2-1 68 W
05/09 Sheff Utd
England Championship
2-1 3-1 45 W
01/09 Stoke
England Championship
0-1 0-1 54 L
29/08 Burnley
England Championship
3-1 4-1 38 W
22/08 Millwall
England Championship
0-1 0-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlton vs Norwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Norwich win (45%). Probabilities: Charlton 28%, draw 27%, Norwich 45%.

How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Norwich?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Charlton 1.13 · Norwich 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Norwich?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.