Football · England Championship · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: West Ham vs West Brom

Team pages: West Ham · West Brom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

West Ham2.14

West Brom1.08

1X2

61% 22% 17%

West Ham Draw West Brom

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

West Ham 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDDWWL

West Brom 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLLWWD

Head-to-head

West Ham 3–2–1 West Brom (6 last)

West Brom1-3West Ham
West Ham2-1West Brom
West Ham0-1West Brom
West Ham2-1West Brom
West Brom0-0West Ham
West Ham2-2West Brom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Ham 1564 · West Brom 1511

	West Ham	Draw	West Brom
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Ham (rating 1564 vs 1511).
H2H favours West Ham: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Ham	West Brom
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.9	2.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.54
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.46 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.52

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:13 +28’	1.50	4.20	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:17 +384’	1.54	4.46	5.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Ham 3–2–1 West Brom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/21 England Premier League	West Brom	1-3 HT 1-1	West Ham
19/01/21 England Premier League	West Ham	2-1 HT 1-0	West Brom
25/01/20 England FA Cup	West Ham	0-1 HT 0-1	West Brom
02/01/18 England Premier League	West Ham	2-1 HT 0-1	West Brom
16/09/17 England Premier League	West Brom	0-0 HT 0-0	West Ham
11/02/17 England Premier League	West Ham	2-2 HT 0-1	West Brom

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27	17	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32	15	22
4	Wolverhampton	12	6	3	3	20	16	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16	13	21
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20	12	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20	12	20
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18	16	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16	15	18
12	Sheff Utd	12	4	4	4	16	15	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19	20	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12	15	15
15	Lincoln City	12	4	3	5	13	20	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19	17	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15	18	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16	23	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11	18	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20	22	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10	20	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17	25	8
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10	21	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10	25	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Ham	West Brom
QPR	1-1 D	1-1 D
Wrexham	6-0 W	2-1 W
Derby	3-0 W	1-0 W
Wolverhampton	4-2 W	0-1 L
Watford	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: West Ham (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Ham

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Southampton England Championship	1-3	2-3	13	3	L
17/10	Swansea England Championship	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
14/10	Lincoln City England Championship	1-0	6-0	11	4	W
09/10	QPR England Championship	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/09	Millwall England Championship	0-2	2-2	11	5	D
11/09	Wrexham England Championship	2-0	6-0	3	1	W
08/09	Bolton England Championship	2-2	3-2	4	2	W
05/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
29/08	Watford England Championship	1-1	1-1	11	4	D

West Brom

LDWWDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Preston England Championship	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
17/10	Blackburn England Championship	1-2	3-2	8	5	W
13/10	Wrexham England Championship	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
10/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	QPR England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-0	1-3	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Ham vs West Brom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Ham win (61%). Probabilities: West Ham 61%, draw 22%, West Brom 17%.

How many goals are expected in West Ham vs West Brom?

The model expects 3.22 goals (West Ham 2.14 · West Brom 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in West Ham vs West Brom?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.