Football · England Championship · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Wolverhampton vs Cardiff
Team pages: Wolverhampton · Cardiff
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Wolverhampton1.93
Cardiff1.05
1X2
Wolverhampton
Draw
Cardiff
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolverhampton
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Cardiff
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolverhampton
3–3
Cardiff
(6 last)
- Wolverhampton2-0Cardiff
- Cardiff2-1Wolverhampton
- Cardiff0-1Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton1-2Cardiff
- Wolverhampton3-1Cardiff
- Cardiff2-1Wolverhampton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolverhampton 1508 · Cardiff 1494
| Wolverhampton | Draw | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolverhampton | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.6 | 2.7 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolverhampton 3–0–3 Cardiff
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/19 England Premier League | Wolverhampton | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cardiff |
| 30/11/18 England Premier League | Cardiff | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Wolverhampton |
| 06/04/18 England Championship | Cardiff | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 19/08/17 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Cardiff |
| 01/04/17 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cardiff |
| 13/12/16 England Championship | Cardiff | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Wolverhampton |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheff Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wolverhampton | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Portsmouth | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Bolton | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Middlesbrough | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Sheff Utd | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Birmingham | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Stoke | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cardiff (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolverhampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 20/10 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/10 | Burnley England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Bolton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | West Ham England Championship |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stoke England Championship |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Cardiff
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Watford England Championship |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Charlton England Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Bolton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 08/09 | Stoke England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | QPR England Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolverhampton vs Cardiff?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolverhampton win (57%). Probabilities: Wolverhampton 57%, draw 24%, Cardiff 19%.
How many goals are expected in Wolverhampton vs Cardiff?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Wolverhampton 1.93 · Cardiff 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Cardiff?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.