Football · England Championship · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Charlton vs Sheff Utd

Team pages: Charlton · Sheff Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Charlton1.15

Sheff Utd1.43

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Charlton Draw Sheff Utd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Charlton 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLDDLDDLLL

Sheff Utd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWDW

Head-to-head

Charlton 2–1–2 Sheff Utd (5 last)

Charlton1-0Sheff Utd
Sheff Utd0-1Charlton
Sheff Utd2-1Charlton
Charlton1-1Sheff Utd
Sheff Utd2-0Charlton

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlton 1427 · Sheff Utd 1484

	Charlton	Draw	Sheff Utd
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Utd (rating 1427 vs 1484).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlton	Sheff Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +5’	3.10	3.40	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton 2–1–2 Sheff Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Championship	Charlton	1-0 HT 0-0	Sheff Utd
20/09/25 England Championship	Sheff Utd	0-1 HT 0-0	Charlton
18/03/17 England League 1	Sheff Utd	2-1 HT 1-1	Charlton
26/11/16 England League 1	Charlton	1-1 HT 0-1	Sheff Utd
09/03/14 England FA Cup	Sheff Utd	2-0 HT 0-0	Charlton

Standings · England Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30	17	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
3	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	23	16	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28	13	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	20	16	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33	18	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21	16	20
10	Sheff Utd	13	5	4	4	17	15	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16	15	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15	17	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23	24	15
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14	23	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19	20	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15	19	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18	26	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11	21	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12	23	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17	25	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11	25	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10	27	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlton	Sheff Utd
Norwich	1-3 L	1-3 L
Bristol City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Portsmouth	0-0 D	2-3 L
Stoke	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sheff Utd (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlton

DLDDLDDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
24/10	Norwich England Championship	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
17/10	Watford England Championship	0-0	0-2	3	8	L
13/10	Burnley England Championship	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
10/10	Bristol City England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	Cardiff England Championship	1-2	1-3	1	8	L
12/09	Portsmouth England Championship	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
09/09	QPR England Championship	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/09	Stoke England Championship	0-4	0-4	3	5	L
02/09	West Brom England Championship	0-0	1-1	3	2	D

Sheff Utd

WLWLLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Wrexham England Championship	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/10	Derby England Championship	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
17/10	Bristol City England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
14/10	Portsmouth England Championship	0-1	2-3	6	6	L
10/10	Lincoln City England Championship	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
19/09	Stoke England Championship	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
13/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
08/09	Blackburn England Championship	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
05/09	Norwich England Championship	1-2	1-3	7	5	L
01/09	Bolton England Championship	1-1	3-2	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlton vs Sheff Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd win (43%). Probabilities: Charlton 29%, draw 28%, Sheff Utd 43%.

How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Sheff Utd?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Charlton 1.15 · Sheff Utd 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Sheff Utd?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.