Football · England Championship · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Blackburn vs West Ham

Team pages: Blackburn · West Ham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Blackburn1.27

West Ham2.28

1X2

19% 22% 59%

Blackburn Draw West Ham

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Blackburn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWWLWL

West Ham 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWWLL

Head-to-head

Blackburn 0–1–1 West Ham (2 last)

West Ham2-2Blackburn
Blackburn1-5West Ham

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blackburn 1501 · West Ham 1532

	Blackburn	Draw	West Ham
Our model	20%	21%	59%
Market	19%	23%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blackburn	West Ham
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	2.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.7	2.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.00

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +4’	5.00	4.00	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn 0–1–1 West Ham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/11/22 England EFL Cup	West Ham	2-2 HT 1-1	Blackburn
21/02/16 England FA Cup	Blackburn	1-5 HT 1-2	West Ham

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30	17	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
3	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	23	16	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28	13	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	20	16	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33	18	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21	16	20
10	Sheff Utd	13	5	4	4	17	15	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16	15	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15	17	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23	24	15
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14	23	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19	20	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15	19	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18	26	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11	21	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12	23	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17	25	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11	25	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10	27	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blackburn	West Ham
Swansea	0-4 L	1-0 W
Wrexham	2-0 W	6-0 W
West Brom	2-3 L	1-3 L
Millwall	3-1 W	2-2 D
Lincoln City	0-0 D	6-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: West Ham (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blackburn

DLLWDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Swansea England Championship	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
24/10	Wrexham England Championship	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
17/10	West Brom England Championship	2-1	2-3	4	5	L
13/10	Bristol City England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	0	W
10/10	Cardiff England Championship	2-0	2-1	11	1	W
19/09	Portsmouth England Championship	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Millwall England Championship	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
08/09	Sheff Utd England Championship	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
05/09	Preston England Championship	0-2	1-2	11	6	L
01/09	Lincoln City England Championship	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

West Ham

WWWWDDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	West Brom England Championship	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
24/10	Southampton England Championship	1-3	2-3	13	3	L
17/10	Swansea England Championship	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
14/10	Lincoln City England Championship	1-0	6-0	11	4	W
09/10	QPR England Championship	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/09	Millwall England Championship	0-2	2-2	11	5	D
11/09	Wrexham England Championship	2-0	6-0	3	1	W
08/09	Bolton England Championship	2-2	3-2	4	2	W
05/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	2-1	4-2	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blackburn vs West Ham?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Ham win (59%). Probabilities: Blackburn 19%, draw 22%, West Ham 59%.

How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs West Ham?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Blackburn 1.27 · West Ham 2.28), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Blackburn vs West Ham?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.