Football · England Championship · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: West Brom vs Millwall

Team pages: West Brom · Millwall

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

West Brom1.51

Millwall1.1

1X2

46% 27% 27%

West Brom Draw Millwall

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

West Brom 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLLWWDW

Millwall 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDDWLDLW

Head-to-head

West Brom 0–5–1 Millwall (6 last)

West Brom0-0Millwall
Millwall3-0West Brom
Millwall1-1West Brom
West Brom0-0Millwall
Millwall1-1West Brom
West Brom0-0Millwall

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Brom 1524 · Millwall 1475

	West Brom	Draw	Millwall
Our model	45%	28%	26%
Market	46%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1524 vs 1475).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Brom	Millwall
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.05

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +13’	2.00	3.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Brom 0–5–1 Millwall

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 England Championship	West Brom	0-0 HT 0-0	Millwall
04/10/25 England Championship	Millwall	3-0 HT 1-0	West Brom
15/02/25 England Championship	Millwall	1-1 HT 1-1	West Brom
05/10/24 England Championship	West Brom	0-0 HT 0-0	Millwall
29/03/24 England Championship	Millwall	1-1 HT 1-0	West Brom
23/09/23 England Championship	West Brom	0-0 HT 0-0	Millwall

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30	17	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
3	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	23	16	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28	13	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	20	16	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33	18	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21	16	20
10	Sheff Utd	13	5	4	4	17	15	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16	15	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15	17	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23	24	15
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14	23	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19	20	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15	19	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18	26	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11	21	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12	23	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17	25	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11	25	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10	27	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Brom	Millwall
West Ham	3-1 W	2-2 D
Preston	1-1 D	1-0 W
Blackburn	3-2 W	1-3 L
Wrexham	2-1 W	0-3 L
Derby	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: West Brom (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Brom

DWWDLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	West Ham England Championship	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
24/10	Preston England Championship	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
17/10	Blackburn England Championship	1-2	3-2	8	5	W
13/10	Wrexham England Championship	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
10/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	QPR England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D

Millwall

LWLDDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Derby England Championship	3-0	4-1	4	5	W
24/10	Portsmouth England Championship	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
17/10	Lincoln City England Championship	0-2	2-2	12	11	D
13/10	Swansea England Championship	0-0	0-1	13	5	L
10/10	Preston England Championship	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	West Ham England Championship	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
15/09	Middlesbrough England Championship	2-0	2-2	1	2	D
12/09	Blackburn England Championship	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
05/09	Bolton England Championship	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
02/09	Wrexham England Championship	0-1	0-3	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Brom vs Millwall?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Brom win (46%). Probabilities: West Brom 46%, draw 27%, Millwall 27%.

How many goals are expected in West Brom vs Millwall?

The model expects 2.6 goals (West Brom 1.51 · Millwall 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Millwall?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.