Prediction: QPR vs Lincoln City
Team pages: QPR · Lincoln City
| QPR | Draw | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours QPR (rating 1506 vs 1463).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| QPR | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | QPR | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Swansea | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Birmingham | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| West Ham | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| Preston | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lincoln City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
QPR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Swansea England Championship |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Derby England Championship |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | West Ham England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | West Brom England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Charlton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Cardiff England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Lincoln City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Burnley England Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Millwall England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 14/10 | West Ham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Swansea England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in QPR vs Lincoln City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a QPR win (52%). Probabilities: QPR 52%, draw 25%, Lincoln City 23%.
How many goals are expected in QPR vs Lincoln City?
The model expects 3.04 goals (QPR 1.86 · Lincoln City 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Lincoln City?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.