Football · England Championship · 03/11, 20:45
Prediction: Preston vs Sheff Utd
Team pages: Preston · Sheff Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Preston1.25
Sheff Utd1.63
1X2
Preston
Draw
Sheff Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Preston
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Sheff Utd
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Preston
2–4
Sheff Utd
(6 last)
- Sheff Utd2-3Preston
- Preston3-2Sheff Utd
- Sheff Utd1-0Preston
- Preston0-2Sheff Utd
- Sheff Utd4-1Preston
- Preston0-2Sheff Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston 1406 · Sheff Utd 1484
| Preston | Draw | Sheff Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Utd (rating 1406 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Sheff Utd: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Preston | Sheff Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Preston 2–0–4 Sheff Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England Championship | Sheff Utd | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Preston |
| 24/10/25 England Championship | Preston | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Sheff Utd |
| 08/03/25 England Championship | Sheff Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Preston |
| 09/08/24 England Championship | Preston | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Utd |
| 29/04/23 England Championship | Sheff Utd | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Preston |
| 17/09/22 England Championship | Preston | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Utd |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Preston | Sheff Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Wrexham | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Lincoln City | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Blackburn | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Bristol City | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sheff Utd (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stoke England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/10 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | QPR England Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Sheff Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/10 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Lincoln City England Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Stoke England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | Blackburn England Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Norwich England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Bolton England Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston vs Sheff Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd win (45%). Probabilities: Preston 28%, draw 27%, Sheff Utd 45%.
How many goals are expected in Preston vs Sheff Utd?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Preston 1.25 · Sheff Utd 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Sheff Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.