Football · England Championship · 04/11, 21:00
Prediction: Bristol City vs Wolverhampton
Team pages: Bristol City · Wolverhampton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Bristol City1.03
Wolverhampton1.41
1X2
Bristol City
Draw
Wolverhampton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Wolverhampton
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City
1–1–4
Wolverhampton
(6 last)
- Bristol City1-2Wolverhampton
- Bristol City0-1Wolverhampton
- Bristol City1-2Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton3-3Bristol City
- Bristol City3-1Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton3-2Bristol City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City 1499 · Wolverhampton 1514
| Bristol City | Draw | Wolverhampton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wolverhampton: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City | Wolverhampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 3.4 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City 1–1–4 Wolverhampton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/25 England FA Cup | Bristol City | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Wolverhampton |
| 17/02/19 England FA Cup | Bristol City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wolverhampton |
| 30/12/17 England Championship | Bristol City | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 12/09/17 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Bristol City |
| 08/04/17 England Championship | Bristol City | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 26/12/16 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Bristol City |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol City | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Sheff Utd | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Watford | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Burnley | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bolton England Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Stoke England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/10 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 10/10 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Burnley England Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Preston England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Wolverhampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cardiff England Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 20/10 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/10 | Burnley England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Bolton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | West Ham England Championship |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolverhampton win (45%). Probabilities: Bristol City 27%, draw 28%, Wolverhampton 45%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Bristol City 1.03 · Wolverhampton 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Wolverhampton?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.