Football · England Championship · 07/11, 13:30

Prediction: Bristol City vs Norwich

Team pages: Bristol City · Norwich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Bristol City1.53

Norwich1.53

1X2

37% 27% 37%

Bristol City Draw Norwich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bristol City 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLLDW

Norwich 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Bristol City 3–1–2 Norwich (6 last)

Bristol City2-4Norwich
Norwich0-1Bristol City
Bristol City2-1Norwich
Norwich0-2Bristol City
Norwich1-1Bristol City
Bristol City1-2Norwich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bristol City 1499 · Norwich 1487

	Bristol City	Draw	Norwich
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bristol City: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bristol City	Norwich
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:52 +32’	2.55	3.40	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City 3–1–2 Norwich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Championship	Bristol City	2-4 HT 1-0	Norwich
18/10/25 England Championship	Norwich	0-1 HT 0-0	Bristol City
14/03/25 England Championship	Bristol City	2-1 HT 2-0	Norwich
09/11/24 England Championship	Norwich	0-2 HT 0-1	Bristol City
20/04/24 England Championship	Norwich	1-1 HT 0-0	Bristol City
03/12/23 England Championship	Bristol City	1-2 HT 1-0	Norwich

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30	17	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
3	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	23	16	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28	13	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23	13	23
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	20	16	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33	18	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21	16	20
10	Sheff Utd	13	5	4	4	17	15	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16	15	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15	17	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23	24	15
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14	23	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19	20	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15	19	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18	26	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11	21	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12	23	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17	25	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11	25	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10	27	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bristol City	Norwich
Bolton	3-2 W	3-4 L
Stoke	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sheff Utd	0-1 L	3-1 W
Charlton	1-1 D	3-1 W
Watford	1-0 W	3-2 W
Southampton	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Norwich (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bristol City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bolton England Championship	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
24/10	Stoke England Championship	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
17/10	Sheff Utd England Championship	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
13/10	Blackburn England Championship	0-1	0-1	10	0	L
10/10	Charlton England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
18/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/09	Lincoln City England Championship	0-0	0-1	13	7	L
12/09	Southampton England Championship	0-1	1-4	5	2	L
05/09	Burnley England Championship	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
01/09	Preston England Championship	1-0	3-1	2	2	W

Norwich

LWWLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Watford England Championship	0-2	3-2	9	2	W
24/10	Charlton England Championship	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
17/10	Portsmouth England Championship	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
14/10	Southampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Swansea England Championship	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
20/09	Bolton England Championship	2-2	3-4	4	0	L
12/09	Middlesbrough England Championship	1-3	3-4	5	3	L
09/09	Birmingham England Championship	2-0	2-1	6	8	W
05/09	Sheff Utd England Championship	2-1	3-1	4	5	W
01/09	Stoke England Championship	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bristol City vs Norwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City win (37%). Probabilities: Bristol City 37%, draw 27%, Norwich 37%.

How many goals are expected in Bristol City vs Norwich?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Bristol City 1.53 · Norwich 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Norwich?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.