Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Colchester vs Oldham
Team pages: Colchester · Oldham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Colchester1.58
Oldham1.25
1X2
Colchester
Draw
Oldham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colchester
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Oldham
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colchester
1–3–2
Oldham
(6 last)
- Colchester1-3Oldham
- Oldham1-1Colchester
- Colchester1-1Oldham
- Oldham1-2Colchester
- Oldham5-2Colchester
- Colchester3-3Oldham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colchester 1486 · Oldham 1470
| Colchester | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oldham: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colchester | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colchester 1–3–2 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England League 2 | Colchester | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Oldham |
| 09/08/25 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Colchester |
| 26/02/22 England League 2 | Colchester | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Oldham |
| 21/08/21 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Colchester |
| 09/04/21 England League 2 | Oldham | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Colchester |
| 03/10/20 England League 2 | Colchester | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Oldham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colchester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Southampton England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Stevenage UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | West Ham U21 Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Harlow Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Heybridge Swifts Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Norwich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Stoke England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Sheff Wed UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Stockport UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Bolton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colchester vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colchester win (44%). Probabilities: Colchester 44%, draw 28%, Oldham 29%.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Oldham?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Colchester 1.58 · Oldham 1.25), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colchester vs Oldham?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.