Football · England League 2 · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Walsall vs Accrington Stanley
Team pages: Walsall · Accrington Stanley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Walsall1.41
Accrington Stanley0.88
1X2
Walsall
Draw
Accrington Stanley
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Walsall
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Accrington Stanley
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walsall
2–2–2
Accrington Stanley
(6 last)
- Walsall0-0Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley1-3Walsall
- Walsall0-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-0Walsall
- Walsall2-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley2-1Walsall
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walsall 1491 · Accrington Stanley 1462
| Walsall | Draw | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walsall | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walsall 2–2–2 Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England League 2 | Walsall | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 27/09/25 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Walsall |
| 26/04/25 England League 2 | Walsall | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 26/10/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Walsall |
| 27/02/24 England League 2 | Walsall | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 23/12/23 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Walsall |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Exeter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Walsall | Accrington Stanley |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Swindon | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Colchester | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walsall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Bromley England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 03/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Walsall win (49%). Probabilities: Walsall 49%, draw 29%, Accrington Stanley 23%.
How many goals are expected in Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Walsall 1.41 · Accrington Stanley 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Walsall vs Accrington Stanley?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.