Prediction: Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town
Team pages: Grimsby · Fleetwood Town
- Grimsby1-0Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town0-1Grimsby
- Grimsby2-1Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town1-0Grimsby
- Fleetwood Town1-0Grimsby
| Grimsby | Draw | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grimsby (rating 1596 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Grimsby: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grimsby | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby 3–0–2 Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 England League 2 | Grimsby | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 01/01/26 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Grimsby |
| 22/02/25 England League 2 | Grimsby | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 10/08/24 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Grimsby |
| 29/07/23 Club Friendly List | Fleetwood Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Grimsby |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Exeter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grimsby | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gillingham | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Chesterfield | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Grimsby (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grimsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grimsby win (50%). Probabilities: Grimsby 50%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 22%.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Grimsby 1.42 · Fleetwood Town 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.