Prediction: Newport County vs Tranmere
Team pages: Newport County · Tranmere
- Newport County3-1Tranmere
- Tranmere1-1Newport County
- Newport County1-4Tranmere
- Tranmere2-1Newport County
- Newport County1-2Tranmere
- Tranmere2-1Newport County
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tranmere: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newport County | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newport County 1–1–4 Tranmere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 England League 2 | Newport County | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tranmere |
| 13/09/25 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Newport County |
| 03/05/25 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Tranmere |
| 09/11/24 England League 2 | Tranmere | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Newport County |
| 13/04/24 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tranmere |
| 09/12/23 England League 2 | Tranmere | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Newport County |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Exeter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newport County | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 3-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Cheltenham | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Shrewsbury | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tranmere (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newport County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newport County vs Tranmere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newport County win (40%). Probabilities: Newport County 40%, draw 28%, Tranmere 32%.
How many goals are expected in Newport County vs Tranmere?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Newport County 1.48 · Tranmere 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Newport County vs Tranmere?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.