Prediction: Shrewsbury vs Salford City
Team pages: Shrewsbury · Salford City
- Salford City1-1Shrewsbury
- Salford City1-2Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury1-3Salford City
- Salford City2-1Shrewsbury
- Salford City1-3Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury1-1Salford City
| Shrewsbury | Draw | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 30% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 28% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1441 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shrewsbury | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shrewsbury 2–2–2 Salford City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 England EFL Cup | Salford City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 24/02/26 England League 2 | Salford City | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 13/09/25 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Salford City |
| 02/11/24 England FA Cup | Salford City | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 21/11/18 England FA Cup | Salford City | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 11/11/18 England FA Cup | Shrewsbury | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Salford City |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Exeter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shrewsbury | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Gillingham | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Crawley Town | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Oldham | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bromley | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Crewe | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Salford City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shrewsbury vs Salford City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Salford City win (47%). Probabilities: Shrewsbury 24%, draw 29%, Salford City 47%.
How many goals are expected in Shrewsbury vs Salford City?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Shrewsbury 0.92 · Salford City 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Salford City?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.