Prediction: Crewe vs Northampton
Team pages: Crewe · Northampton
- Northampton1-0Crewe
- Crewe2-2Northampton
- Northampton0-1Crewe
- Crewe2-1Northampton
- Northampton4-1Crewe
- Crewe0-2Northampton
| Crewe | Draw | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crewe (rating 1523 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Northampton: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crewe | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crewe 2–1–3 Northampton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/23 England League 2 | Northampton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crewe |
| 20/08/22 England League 2 | Crewe | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Northampton |
| 20/03/21 England League 1 | Northampton | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Crewe |
| 12/12/20 England League 1 | Crewe | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Northampton |
| 16/11/19 England League 2 | Northampton | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Crewe |
| 02/03/19 England League 2 | Crewe | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Northampton |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crewe | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Cambridge Utd | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Crewe (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crewe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | Accrington Stanley England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Chester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Birmingham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | AFC Telford UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Stoke UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Witton Albion UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Northampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Leicester England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Cambridge Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Birmingham Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Southend UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Coventry Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Leicester Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crewe vs Northampton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crewe win (43%). Probabilities: Crewe 43%, draw 29%, Northampton 28%.
How many goals are expected in Crewe vs Northampton?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Crewe 1.32 · Northampton 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Crewe vs Northampton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.