Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Gillingham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Fleetwood Town1.4
Gillingham1.22
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Gillingham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Gillingham
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
3–3–0
Gillingham
(6 last)
- Gillingham1-1Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town2-1Gillingham
- Gillingham1-2Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town0-0Gillingham
- Gillingham0-0Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town2-1Gillingham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1579 · Gillingham 1460
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fleetwood Town (rating 1579 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 3–3–0 Gillingham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England League 2 | Gillingham | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 20/12/25 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Gillingham |
| 25/02/25 England League 2 | Gillingham | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 24/08/24 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gillingham |
| 18/04/22 England League 1 | Gillingham | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 11/12/21 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gillingham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Chesterfield England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Hartlepool UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Bolton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Southport Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Bamber Bridge Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Gillingham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Luton England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Ebbsfleet United UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Millwall UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Dover Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (40%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 40%, draw 29%, Gillingham 32%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.4 · Gillingham 1.22), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.