Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Port Vale vs Tranmere
Team pages: Port Vale · Tranmere
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Port Vale1.52
Tranmere0.8
1X2
Port Vale
Draw
Tranmere
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Port Vale
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Tranmere
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Port Vale
0–4–2
Tranmere
(6 last)
- Tranmere1-1Port Vale
- Port Vale0-0Tranmere
- Tranmere1-1Port Vale
- Port Vale0-0Tranmere
- Tranmere3-1Port Vale
- Port Vale3-4Tranmere
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Port Vale 1497 · Tranmere 1503
| Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tranmere: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port Vale | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/25/38% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port Vale 0–4–2 Tranmere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/25 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Port Vale |
| 17/08/24 England League 2 | Port Vale | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tranmere |
| 19/02/22 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Port Vale |
| 14/08/21 England League 2 | Port Vale | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tranmere |
| 06/02/21 England League 2 | Tranmere | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Port Vale |
| 14/11/20 England League 2 | Port Vale | 3-4 HT 2-0 | Tranmere |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port Vale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Wolverhampton England EFL Cup |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Real Murcia Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/07 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Newcastle Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Tamworth Club Friendly List |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Kidsgrove Ath Club Friendly List |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/04 | Stockport England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Rochdale England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port Vale vs Tranmere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Port Vale win (54%). Probabilities: Port Vale 54%, draw 27%, Tranmere 19%.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Tranmere?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Port Vale 1.52 · Tranmere 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Tranmere?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.