Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Rochdale vs Crawley Town
Team pages: Rochdale · Crawley Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Rochdale1.51
Crawley Town1
1X2
Rochdale
Draw
Crawley Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rochdale
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Crawley Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rochdale
2–1–3
Crawley Town
(6 last)
- Crawley Town2-0Rochdale
- Rochdale1-1Crawley Town
- Crawley Town1-0Rochdale
- Rochdale0-1Crawley Town
- Rochdale4-1Crawley Town
- Crawley Town0-4Rochdale
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rochdale 1461 · Crawley Town 1469
| Rochdale | Draw | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Crawley Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rochdale | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rochdale 2–1–3 Crawley Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/23 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rochdale |
| 27/08/22 England League 2 | Rochdale | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Crawley Town |
| 26/03/22 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rochdale |
| 09/10/21 England League 2 | Rochdale | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Crawley Town |
| 17/01/15 England League 1 | Rochdale | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Crawley Town |
| 06/09/14 England League 1 | Crawley Town | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Rochdale |
Standings · England League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rochdale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Bradford England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Tranmere England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Al-Rayyan SC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | York England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Crawley Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Watford England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | York England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Oxford Utd UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Eastleigh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rochdale win (48%). Probabilities: Rochdale 48%, draw 28%, Crawley Town 24%.
How many goals are expected in Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Rochdale 1.51 · Crawley Town 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rochdale vs Crawley Town?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.