Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Rotherham vs York
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Rotherham1.34
York1.13
1X2
Rotherham
Draw
York
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rotherham
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
York
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rotherham 1467 · York 1491
| Rotherham | Draw | York | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rotherham | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rotherham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | West Brom England EFL Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Derby UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Darlington 1883 UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Sheff Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Matlock Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Emley AFC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/07 | Parkgate Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
York
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Crawley Town England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 28/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Ittifaq Dammam World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Sunderland Elite Club Friendlies |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Pickering Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Yeovil England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rotherham vs York?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rotherham win (41%). Probabilities: Rotherham 41%, draw 29%, York 30%.
How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs York?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Rotherham 1.34 · York 1.13), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rotherham vs York?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.