Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Salford City vs Chesterfield
Team pages: Salford City · Chesterfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Salford City1.35
Chesterfield0.82
1X2
Salford City
Draw
Chesterfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Salford City
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Chesterfield
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salford City
0–1–5
Chesterfield
(6 last)
- Salford City0-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield2-0Salford City
- Salford City0-4Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-1Salford City
- Salford City0-2Chesterfield
- Chesterfield2-0Salford City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salford City 1525 · Chesterfield 1509
| Salford City | Draw | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chesterfield: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salford City | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salford City 0–1–5 Chesterfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England League 2 | Salford City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 11/10/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 11/03/25 England League 2 | Salford City | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Chesterfield |
| 24/08/24 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 05/12/21 England FA Cup | Salford City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| 08/12/18 England National League | Chesterfield | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Salford City |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Shrewsbury England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Bradford UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Carlisle UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Dundee Utd UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Fleetwood Town England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sheff Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Clay Cross Town FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salford City vs Chesterfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salford City win (49%). Probabilities: Salford City 49%, draw 29%, Chesterfield 22%.
How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Chesterfield?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Salford City 1.35 · Chesterfield 0.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Salford City vs Chesterfield?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.