Football · England League 2 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Walsall vs Grimsby
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Walsall1.26
Grimsby1.15
1X2
Walsall
Draw
Grimsby
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Walsall
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Grimsby
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walsall
2–2–2
Grimsby
(6 last)
- Grimsby2-2Walsall
- Walsall0-1Grimsby
- Walsall1-3Grimsby
- Grimsby1-4Walsall
- Grimsby1-6Walsall
- Walsall1-1Grimsby
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walsall 1474 · Grimsby 1578
| Walsall | Draw | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grimsby (rating 1474 vs 1578).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walsall | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walsall 2–2–2 Grimsby
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/26 England League 2 | Grimsby | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Walsall |
| 19/08/25 England League 2 | Walsall | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Grimsby |
| 08/03/25 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Grimsby |
| 19/10/24 England League 2 | Grimsby | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Walsall |
| 01/01/24 England League 2 | Grimsby | 1-6 HT 1-2 | Walsall |
| 26/08/23 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Grimsby |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnet | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | York | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walsall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | Bristol City England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Notts County UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | AFC Telford UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Bromley England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
Grimsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Blackpool England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hartlepool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Cleethorpes Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walsall vs Grimsby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Walsall win (38%). Probabilities: Walsall 38%, draw 29%, Grimsby 33%.
How many goals are expected in Walsall vs Grimsby?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Walsall 1.26 · Grimsby 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Walsall vs Grimsby?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.