Prediction: Chesterfield vs Gillingham
Team pages: Chesterfield · Gillingham
- Chesterfield1-0Gillingham
- Gillingham4-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-1Gillingham
- Gillingham1-0Chesterfield
- Gillingham1-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-3Gillingham
| Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Gillingham: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chesterfield | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesterfield 1–3–2 Gillingham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gillingham |
| 19/08/25 England League 2 | Gillingham | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
| 08/04/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gillingham |
| 31/08/24 England League 2 | Gillingham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
| 14/02/17 England League 1 | Gillingham | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 27/09/16 England League 1 | Chesterfield | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Gillingham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chesterfield | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fleetwood Town | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Grimsby | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chesterfield (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Gillingham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Northampton England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 03/04 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesterfield win (61%). Probabilities: Chesterfield 61%, draw 25%, Gillingham 14%.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Chesterfield 1.58 · Gillingham 0.61), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.