Football · England League 2 · 01/09, 20:45

Prediction: Crewe vs Walsall

Team pages: Crewe · Walsall

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Crewe1.31

Walsall1.04

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Crewe Draw Walsall

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Crewe 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLDWWD

Walsall 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Crewe 0–2–4 Walsall (6 last)

Crewe0-3Walsall
Walsall1-0Crewe
Crewe0-1Walsall
Walsall1-1Crewe
Walsall2-0Crewe
Crewe2-2Walsall

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crewe 1502 · Walsall 1502

	Crewe	Draw	Walsall
Our model	41%	30%	28%
Market	42%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Walsall: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crewe	Walsall
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	2.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.25

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.27
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.57 ★
2	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:04 +6’	2.10	3.25	3.20
06:26 +18’	2.15▲	3.25	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:08 +2’	2.13	3.67	3.11
06:43 +1’	2.25▲	3.59▼	2.93▼
14:23 +1’	2.27▲	3.57▼	2.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crewe 0–2–4 Walsall

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England League 2	Crewe	0-3 HT 0-1	Walsall
26/12/25 England League 2	Walsall	1-0 HT 1-0	Crewe
03/05/25 England League 2	Crewe	0-1 HT 0-0	Walsall
09/11/24 England League 2	Walsall	1-1 HT 0-0	Crewe
26/12/23 England League 2	Walsall	2-0 HT 1-0	Crewe
19/08/23 England League 2	Crewe	2-2 HT 0-2	Walsall

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barnet	3	2	1	0	8	4	7
2	Walsall	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	York	3	2	1	0	6	4	7
4	Colchester	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
5	Crewe	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
6	Oldham	3	2	0	1	6	2	6
7	Bristol Rovers	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
8	Tranmere	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
9	Fleetwood Town	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
9	Grimsby	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
11	Newport County	3	1	1	1	8	7	4
12	Cheltenham	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
13	Rotherham	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
14	Swindon	3	1	1	1	2	4	4
15	Exeter	3	1	0	2	3	3	3
16	Chesterfield	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
17	Crawley Town	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
18	Shrewsbury	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
19	Northampton	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
20	Port Vale	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
21	Gillingham	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
22	Accrington Stanley	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
23	Salford City	3	0	0	3	1	5	0
24	Rochdale	3	0	0	3	1	6	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crewe	Walsall
Grimsby	2-3 L	0-0 D
Accrington Stanley	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Walsall (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crewe

WLWLLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Port Vale England League 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
22/08	Northampton England League 2	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
15/08	Crawley Town England League 2	0-0	1-0	11	10	W
02/05	Cambridge Utd England League 2	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
25/04	Chesterfield England League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
18/04	Milton Keynes Dons England League 2	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
11/04	Grimsby England League 2	0-1	2-3	5	1	L
06/04	Salford City England League 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
03/04	Accrington Stanley England League 2	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
28/03	Oldham England League 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W

Walsall

DDLLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Accrington Stanley England League 2	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
22/08	Grimsby England League 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
15/08	Gillingham England League 2	0-0	3-0	9	6	W
02/05	Bromley England League 2	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
25/04	Harrogate Town England League 2	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
18/04	Barrow England League 2	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
11/04	Cheltenham England League 2	0-0	0-4	0	3	L
06/04	Swindon England League 2	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
03/04	Gillingham England League 2	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
28/03	Colchester England League 2	0-0	1-1	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crewe vs Walsall?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crewe win (42%). Probabilities: Crewe 42%, draw 29%, Walsall 29%.

How many goals are expected in Crewe vs Walsall?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Crewe 1.31 · Walsall 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crewe vs Walsall?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.