Football · England League 2 · 01/09, 20:45
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Oldham
Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Oldham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Fleetwood Town1.45
Oldham1.34
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Oldham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Oldham
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
2–3–1
Oldham
(6 last)
- Oldham1-1Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town1-1Oldham
- Fleetwood Town5-2Oldham
- Oldham1-2Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town2-2Oldham
- Oldham2-0Fleetwood Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1563 · Oldham 1483
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fleetwood Town (rating 1563 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 2–3–1 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 23/08/25 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Oldham |
| 13/11/19 England EFL Trophy | Fleetwood Town | 5-2 HT 4-1 | Oldham |
| 26/12/17 England League 1 | Oldham | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 09/09/17 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Oldham |
| 08/04/17 England League 1 | Oldham | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fleetwood Town |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | York | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fleetwood Town | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Shrewsbury | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Accrington Stanley | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Swindon | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oldham (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (39%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 39%, draw 28%, Oldham 34%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Oldham?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.45 · Oldham 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Oldham?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.