Football · England League 2 · 01/09, 20:45

Prediction: Salford City vs Newport County

Team pages: Salford City · Newport County

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Salford City2.01
Newport County0.99
1X2
60% 24% 17%
Salford City Draw Newport County
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Salford City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLLLLL
Newport County 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWWWLD
Head-to-head
Salford City 3–1–2 Newport County (6 last)
  • Salford City1-3Newport County
  • Newport County0-1Salford City
  • Salford City1-1Newport County
  • Newport County3-1Salford City
  • Newport County0-1Salford City
  • Salford City2-1Newport County
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salford City 1496 · Newport County 1502
Salford CityDrawNewport County
Our model60%23%17%
Market59%24%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Salford City: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Salford CityNewport County
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.22.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salford City 312 Newport County

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/26
England League 2
Salford City1-3
HT 0-1
Newport County
19/08/25
England League 2
Newport County0-1
HT 0-0
Salford City
28/01/25
England League 2
Salford City1-1
HT 1-1
Newport County
01/10/24
England League 2
Newport County3-1
HT 2-0
Salford City
20/04/24
England League 2
Newport County0-1
HT 0-0
Salford City
30/09/23
England League 2
Salford City2-1
HT 2-1
Newport County

Standings · England League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barnet 3210 847
2 Walsall 3210 627
3 York 3210 647
4 Colchester 3210 537
5 Crewe 3210 207
6 Oldham 3201 626
7 Bristol Rovers 3201 966
8 Tranmere 3120 535
9 Fleetwood Town 3120 325
9 Grimsby 3120 325
11 Newport County 3111 874
12 Cheltenham 3111 554
13 Rotherham 3111 444
14 Swindon 3111 244
15 Exeter 3102 333
16 Chesterfield 3102 233
17 Crawley Town 3102 243
18 Shrewsbury 3102 253
19 Northampton 3021 122
20 Port Vale 3021 132
21 Gillingham 3021 142
22 Accrington Stanley 3012 471
23 Salford City 3003 150
24 Rochdale 3003 160

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalford CityNewport County
Shrewsbury 0-1 L 1-0 W
Notts County 0-3 L 1-3 L
Crawley Town 0-0 D 0-2 L
Oldham 2-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Newport County (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salford City

DWWDWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Shrewsbury
England League 2
0-0 0-1 31 L
22/08 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 0-1 55 L
15/08 Barnet
England League 2
0-2 1-3 54 L
25/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-2 0-3 34 L
15/05 Grimsby
England League 2
0-0 1-2 82 L
10/05 Grimsby
England League 2
2-1 2-1 44 W
02/05 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-0 112 D
23/04 Bromley
England League 2
0-0 2-0 63 W
18/04 Oldham
England League 2
2-0 2-1 45 W
11/04 Gillingham
England League 2
0-0 0-0 33 D

Newport County

WLLWLWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Tranmere
England League 2
1-0 2-2 44 D
22/08 Bristol Rovers
England League 2
1-1 3-5 13 L
15/08 Rochdale
England League 2
2-0 3-0 96 W
02/05 Barrow
England League 2
0-1 2-1 43 W
25/04 Oldham
England League 2
1-2 3-2 65 W
18/04 Cheltenham
England League 2
0-0 0-1 75 L
11/04 Harrogate Town
England League 2
1-1 2-1 83 W
06/04 Notts County
England League 2
0-2 1-3 44 L
03/04 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-2 76 L
28/03 Shrewsbury
England League 2
0-0 1-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salford City vs Newport County?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salford City win (60%). Probabilities: Salford City 60%, draw 24%, Newport County 17%.

How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Newport County?

The model expects 3 goals (Salford City 2.01 · Newport County 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Salford City vs Newport County?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.