Football · England League 2 · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Oldham vs Chesterfield

Team pages: Oldham · Chesterfield

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Oldham1.28
Chesterfield1.15
1X2
39% 29% 32%
Oldham Draw Chesterfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Oldham 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWLWDL
Chesterfield 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLDLWLDD
Head-to-head
Oldham 2–3–1 Chesterfield (6 last)
  • Chesterfield0-3Oldham
  • Oldham1-1Chesterfield
  • Oldham2-2Chesterfield
  • Chesterfield1-1Oldham
  • Chesterfield0-1Oldham
  • Oldham0-2Chesterfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oldham 1465 · Chesterfield 1483
OldhamDrawChesterfield
Our model38%30%32%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Oldham: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OldhamChesterfield
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.41.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.61.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.23.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oldham 231 Chesterfield

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/03/26
England League 2
Chesterfield0-3
HT 0-2
Oldham
01/01/26
England League 2
Oldham1-1
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
16/03/24
England National League
Oldham2-2
HT 2-1
Chesterfield
19/08/23
England National League
Chesterfield1-1
HT 0-0
Oldham
25/02/23
England National League
Chesterfield0-1
HT 0-1
Oldham
03/09/22
England National League
Oldham0-2
HT 0-2
Chesterfield

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bristol Rovers 5401 12612
2 Swindon 5311 8610
3 Barnet 5230 1289
4 Tranmere 5230 959
5 Walsall 5230 849
6 Fleetwood Town 5230 639
7 Crewe 5230 539
8 Cheltenham 5221 1098
9 York 5221 988
10 Oldham 5212 757
11 Grimsby 5140 767
12 Colchester 5212 687
13 Gillingham 5131 666
14 Northampton 5131 336
15 Salford City 5203 466
16 Exeter 5122 445
17 Chesterfield 5122 675
17 Rotherham 5122 675
19 Accrington Stanley 5122 9115
20 Newport County 5113 9104
21 Crawley Town 5113 584
22 Rochdale 5104 5103
23 Shrewsbury 5104 2103
24 Port Vale 5023 272

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOldhamChesterfield
Fleetwood Town 1-1 D 0-1 L
Swindon 3-0 W 2-1 W
Salford City 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Oldham (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oldham

LLLLWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Tranmere
England League 2
0-1 0-2 105 L
01/09 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
1-0 1-1 41 D
29/08 Swindon
England League 2
1-0 3-0 143 W
22/08 Colchester
England League 2
1-0 1-2 28 L
15/08 Port Vale
England League 2
0-0 2-0 16 W
02/05 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
1-0 3-0 51 W
25/04 Newport County
England League 2
2-1 2-3 45 L
18/04 Salford City
England League 2
0-2 1-2 75 L
14/04 Barrow
England League 2
0-0 2-3 44 L
11/04 Shrewsbury
England League 2
0-1 0-1 54 L

Chesterfield

DWWLDLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Barnet
England League 2
1-2 3-3 47 D
01/09 Gillingham
England League 2
1-0 1-1 83 D
29/08 Rotherham
England League 2
0-1 1-2 03 L
22/08 Salford City
England League 2
1-0 1-0 15 W
15/08 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-0 0-0 82 D
10/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-1 0-1 35 L
02/05 Swindon
England League 2
1-1 2-1 35 W
25/04 Crewe
England League 2
1-0 2-0 03 W
18/04 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-0 1-1 61 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oldham vs Chesterfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oldham win (39%). Probabilities: Oldham 39%, draw 29%, Chesterfield 32%.

How many goals are expected in Oldham vs Chesterfield?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Oldham 1.28 · Chesterfield 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Oldham vs Chesterfield?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.