Football · England League 2 · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Gillingham vs Tranmere

Team pages: Gillingham · Tranmere

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Gillingham1.34
Tranmere1.25
1X2
38% 29% 34%
Gillingham Draw Tranmere
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Gillingham 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLDDDW
Tranmere 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLWLDWDDDW
Head-to-head
Gillingham 2–3–1 Tranmere (6 last)
  • Gillingham2-1Tranmere
  • Tranmere1-1Gillingham
  • Tranmere1-1Gillingham
  • Gillingham3-0Tranmere
  • Gillingham1-1Tranmere
  • Tranmere3-1Gillingham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gillingham 1497 · Tranmere 1522
GillinghamDrawTranmere
Our model38%29%33%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gillingham: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GillinghamTranmere
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.81.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.92.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.14 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gillingham 231 Tranmere

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
England League 2
Gillingham2-1
HT 1-0
Tranmere
16/08/25
England League 2
Tranmere1-1
HT 0-0
Gillingham
25/01/25
England League 2
Tranmere1-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
14/09/24
England League 2
Gillingham3-0
HT 0-0
Tranmere
09/03/24
England League 2
Gillingham1-1
HT 0-1
Tranmere
25/11/23
England League 2
Tranmere3-1
HT 1-0
Gillingham

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bristol Rovers 5401 12612
2 Swindon 5311 8610
3 Barnet 5230 1289
4 Tranmere 5230 959
5 Walsall 5230 849
6 Fleetwood Town 5230 639
7 Crewe 5230 539
8 Cheltenham 5221 1098
9 York 5221 988
10 Oldham 5212 757
11 Grimsby 5140 767
12 Colchester 5212 687
13 Gillingham 5131 666
14 Northampton 5131 336
15 Salford City 5203 466
16 Exeter 5122 445
17 Chesterfield 5122 675
17 Rotherham 5122 675
19 Accrington Stanley 5122 9115
20 Newport County 5113 9104
21 Crawley Town 5113 584
22 Rochdale 5104 5103
23 Shrewsbury 5104 2103
24 Port Vale 5023 272

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGillinghamTranmere
Chesterfield 1-1 D 1-1 D
Shrewsbury 1-0 W 2-0 W
Grimsby 1-4 L 1-1 D
Cheltenham 1-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tranmere (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gillingham

DLLLWLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Rochdale
England League 2
1-0 4-1 63 W
01/09 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 1-1 23 D
29/08 Northampton
England League 2
1-1 1-1 46 D
22/08 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
15/08 Walsall
England League 2
0-0 0-3 66 L
02/05 Shrewsbury
England League 2
0-0 1-0 23 W
25/04 Barnet
England League 2
1-5 2-6 34 L
18/04 Grimsby
England League 2
0-1 1-4 53 L
14/04 Cheltenham
England League 2
1-0 1-2 41 L
11/04 Salford City
England League 2
0-0 0-0 53 D

Tranmere

DLWLDWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 2-0 25 W
01/09 Rotherham
England League 2
1-0 2-2 26 D
29/08 Newport County
England League 2
0-1 2-2 64 D
22/08 Port Vale
England League 2
0-1 1-1 35 D
15/08 Shrewsbury
England League 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
02/05 Grimsby
England League 2
0-1 1-1 41 D
25/04 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 2
0-2 0-3 22 L
21/04 Cheltenham
England League 2
0-1 3-1 51 W
18/04 Bristol Rovers
England League 2
0-0 1-2 57 L
11/04 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 1-1 75 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gillingham vs Tranmere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gillingham win (38%). Probabilities: Gillingham 38%, draw 29%, Tranmere 34%.

How many goals are expected in Gillingham vs Tranmere?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Gillingham 1.34 · Tranmere 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Tranmere?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.