Football · England League 2 · 12/09, 13:30
Prediction: Crawley Town vs Cheltenham
Team pages: Crawley Town · Cheltenham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Crawley Town1.38
Cheltenham1.32
1X2
Crawley Town
Draw
Cheltenham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Crawley Town
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Cheltenham
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crawley Town
4–2
Cheltenham
(6 last)
- Cheltenham3-0Crawley Town
- Crawley Town2-0Cheltenham
- Crawley Town1-0Cheltenham
- Cheltenham2-0Crawley Town
- Crawley Town1-0Cheltenham
- Crawley Town1-0Cheltenham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crawley Town 1443 · Cheltenham 1475
| Crawley Town | Draw | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Crawley Town: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crawley Town | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 3.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crawley Town 4–0–2 Cheltenham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Crawley Town |
| 13/09/25 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cheltenham |
| 16/04/21 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cheltenham |
| 10/10/20 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Crawley Town |
| 31/08/19 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cheltenham |
| 05/01/19 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cheltenham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Walsall | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Town | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Crewe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | York | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Oldham | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Colchester | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Northampton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Salford City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Exeter | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Accrington Stanley | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 5 |
| 20 | Newport County | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crawley Town | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Grimsby | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crawley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Cheltenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crawley Town win (38%). Probabilities: Crawley Town 38%, draw 27%, Cheltenham 35%.
How many goals are expected in Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Crawley Town 1.38 · Cheltenham 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.