Football · England League 2 · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Barnet vs Oldham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Barnet1.9
Oldham1.4
1X2
Barnet
Draw
Oldham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnet
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Oldham
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barnet
2–2–2
Oldham
(6 last)
- Barnet3-2Oldham
- Oldham1-1Barnet
- Oldham0-3Barnet
- Barnet0-0Oldham
- Oldham2-0Barnet
- Barnet1-4Oldham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnet 1598 · Oldham 1493
| Barnet | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnet (rating 1598 vs 1493).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnet | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnet 2–2–2 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England League 2 | Barnet | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Oldham |
| 27/09/25 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barnet |
| 01/03/25 England National League | Oldham | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Barnet |
| 09/11/24 England National League | Barnet | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Oldham |
| 23/01/24 England National League | Oldham | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Barnet |
| 22/11/23 England National League | Barnet | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Oldham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Swindon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 19 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnet | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Fleetwood Town | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Accrington Stanley | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Chesterfield | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Cheltenham | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Salford City | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnet (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnet vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnet win (48%). Probabilities: Barnet 48%, draw 25%, Oldham 27%.
How many goals are expected in Barnet vs Oldham?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Barnet 1.9 · Oldham 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnet vs Oldham?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.