Football · England League 2 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Rotherham vs Shrewsbury

Team pages: Rotherham · Shrewsbury

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Rotherham1.21

Shrewsbury1.05

1X2

39% 30% 31%

Rotherham Draw Shrewsbury

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Rotherham 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWDLLL

Shrewsbury 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Rotherham 1–3–2 Shrewsbury (6 last)

Rotherham1-2Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1-1Rotherham
Rotherham0-3Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury0-0Rotherham
Shrewsbury1-2Rotherham
Rotherham0-0Shrewsbury

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rotherham 1452 · Shrewsbury 1473

	Rotherham	Draw	Shrewsbury
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	40%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shrewsbury: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rotherham	Shrewsbury
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.7	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +13’	2.30	3.20	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rotherham 1–3–2 Shrewsbury

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/25 England League 1	Rotherham	1-2 HT 0-0	Shrewsbury
28/09/24 England League 1	Shrewsbury	1-1 HT 1-0	Rotherham
19/03/22 England League 1	Rotherham	0-3 HT 0-1	Shrewsbury
01/03/22 England League 1	Shrewsbury	0-0 HT 0-0	Rotherham
26/12/19 England League 1	Shrewsbury	1-2 HT 0-0	Rotherham
21/09/19 England League 1	Rotherham	0-0 HT 0-0	Shrewsbury

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17	11	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22	12	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15	9	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18	12	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13	7	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17	20	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15	18	15
10	Accrington Stanley	11	3	5	3	16	15	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14	13	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10	15	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13	13	13
16	Exeter	11	3	4	4	6	6	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14	15	12
18	Swindon	11	3	3	5	10	15	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10	13	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5	9	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6	7	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9	17	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rotherham	Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town	0-2 L	0-2 L
Exeter	0-1 L	0-1 L
Crewe	1-1 D	1-1 D
Northampton	1-0 W	2-0 W
Salford City	3-3 D	1-0 W
Bristol Rovers	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shrewsbury (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rotherham

DWDLDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Fleetwood Town England League 2	0-0	0-2	5	8	L
10/10	Gillingham England League 2	1-1	1-4	2	5	L
03/10	Exeter England League 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
26/09	Crewe England League 2	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
19/09	Northampton England League 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
12/09	Salford City England League 2	2-2	3-3	4	6	D
05/09	Bristol Rovers England League 2	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
01/09	Tranmere England League 2	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
29/08	Chesterfield England League 2	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
22/08	York England League 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Shrewsbury

LWLLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bristol Rovers England League 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/10	Exeter England League 2	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
03/10	Grimsby England League 2	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
26/09	Colchester England League 2	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
19/09	Crewe England League 2	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Northampton England League 2	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/09	Fleetwood Town England League 2	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
01/09	Rochdale England League 2	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
29/08	Salford City England League 2	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
22/08	Barnet England League 2	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rotherham win (39%). Probabilities: Rotherham 39%, draw 30%, Shrewsbury 31%.

How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Rotherham 1.21 · Shrewsbury 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.