Prediction: York vs Port Vale
| York | Draw | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| York | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Swindon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 19 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | York | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Chesterfield | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Swindon | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Crewe | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Exeter | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: York (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
York
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Newport County England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Port Vale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in York vs Port Vale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a York win (48%). Probabilities: York 48%, draw 29%, Port Vale 24%.
How many goals are expected in York vs Port Vale?
The model expects 2.19 goals (York 1.33 · Port Vale 0.85), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in York vs Port Vale?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.