Football · England League 2 · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Colchester vs Walsall
Team pages: Colchester · Walsall
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Colchester1.17
Walsall1.15
1X2
Colchester
Draw
Walsall
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Colchester
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Walsall
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colchester
2–2–2
Walsall
(6 last)
- Colchester1-1Walsall
- Walsall0-2Colchester
- Colchester2-1Walsall
- Walsall4-0Colchester
- Colchester1-1Walsall
- Walsall1-0Colchester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colchester 1461 · Walsall 1508
| Colchester | Draw | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Walsall (rating 1461 vs 1508).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colchester | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colchester 2–2–2 Walsall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 England League 2 | Colchester | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Walsall |
| 15/11/25 England League 2 | Walsall | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Colchester |
| 08/02/25 England League 2 | Colchester | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Walsall |
| 28/09/24 England League 2 | Walsall | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Colchester |
| 16/03/24 England League 2 | Colchester | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Walsall |
| 02/09/23 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Colchester |
Standings · England League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colchester | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Crewe | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Swindon | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Rochdale | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colchester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/10 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Walsall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colchester vs Walsall?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colchester win (36%). Probabilities: Colchester 36%, draw 29%, Walsall 35%.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Walsall?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Colchester 1.17 · Walsall 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Colchester vs Walsall?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.