Football · England League 2 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Crewe vs Barnet

Team pages: Crewe · Barnet

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Crewe1.36

Barnet1.65

1X2

30% 26% 43%

Crewe Draw Barnet

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Crewe 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDDWWWLL

Barnet 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Crewe 2–2–2 Barnet (6 last)

Barnet1-1Crewe
Crewe1-2Barnet
Barnet2-1Crewe
Crewe1-0Barnet
Crewe4-1Barnet
Barnet0-0Crewe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crewe 1525 · Barnet 1540

	Crewe	Draw	Barnet
Our model	30%	26%	43%
Market	30%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crewe	Barnet
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	4.4 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +4’	3.00	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Crewe 2–2–2 Barnet

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 England League 2	Barnet	1-1 HT 1-1	Crewe
13/09/25 England League 2	Crewe	1-2 HT 0-0	Barnet
30/03/18 England League 2	Barnet	2-1 HT 0-0	Crewe
19/08/17 England League 2	Crewe	1-0 HT 0-0	Barnet
06/05/17 England League 2	Crewe	4-1 HT 2-0	Barnet
19/11/16 England League 2	Barnet	0-0 HT 0-0	Crewe

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	19	12	25
2	Barnet	11	6	4	1	24	16	22
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	22	22	21
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	16	16	21
5	York	12	5	5	2	21	13	20
6	Walsall	11	4	7	0	16	7	19
7	Chesterfield	13	5	4	4	23	17	19
8	Exeter	13	5	4	4	10	7	19
9	Accrington Stanley	13	4	6	3	22	16	18
10	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	16	20	18
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19	16	17
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18	18	17
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16	16	16
14	Swindon	13	4	4	5	13	16	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16	20	16
16	Newport County	13	3	6	4	16	16	15
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15	22	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	5	5	15	17	14
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	8	8	13
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	14	18	12
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	11	16	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	17	23	12
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6	12	12
24	Crawley Town	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crewe	Barnet
Chesterfield	1-5 L	3-3 D
Exeter	0-2 L	1-1 D
Swindon	1-0 W	1-3 L
Bristol Rovers	3-1 W	3-1 W
Shrewsbury	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barnet (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crewe

DDDDDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chesterfield England League 2	0-5	1-5	4	0	L
20/10	Exeter England League 2	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
17/10	Rochdale England League 2	2-0	3-2	1	1	W
10/10	Swindon England League 2	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
03/10	Bristol Rovers England League 2	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
26/09	Rotherham England League 2	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
19/09	Shrewsbury England League 2	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Colchester England League 2	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
05/09	York England League 2	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
01/09	Walsall England League 2	0-1	2-2	9	2	D

Barnet

WDDDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Oldham England League 2	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
20/10	Swindon England League 2	0-3	1-3	14	1	L
17/10	Tranmere England League 2	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	Bristol Rovers England League 2	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
19/09	Fleetwood Town England League 2	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
12/09	Accrington Stanley England League 2	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/09	Chesterfield England League 2	2-1	3-3	8	7	D
01/09	Exeter England League 2	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
29/08	Cheltenham England League 2	1-0	2-2	11	4	D
22/08	Shrewsbury England League 2	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crewe vs Barnet?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Barnet win (43%). Probabilities: Crewe 30%, draw 26%, Barnet 43%.

How many goals are expected in Crewe vs Barnet?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Crewe 1.36 · Barnet 1.65), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Crewe vs Barnet?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.