Prediction: Port Vale vs Rochdale
Team pages: Port Vale · Rochdale
- Rochdale2-3Port Vale
- Rochdale1-1Port Vale
- Port Vale1-0Rochdale
- Port Vale2-3Rochdale
- Rochdale3-0Port Vale
- Port Vale1-0Rochdale
| Port Vale | Draw | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Port Vale: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port Vale | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port Vale 3–1–2 Rochdale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/22 Club Friendly List | Rochdale | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Port Vale |
| 22/02/22 England League 2 | Rochdale | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Port Vale |
| 05/10/21 England EFL Trophy | Port Vale | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rochdale |
| 04/09/21 England League 2 | Port Vale | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Rochdale |
| 04/04/17 England League 1 | Rochdale | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Port Vale |
| 16/08/16 England League 1 | Port Vale | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rochdale |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port Vale | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Grimsby | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Walsall | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Swindon | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Crewe | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Tranmere | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Port Vale (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port Vale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Rochdale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Port Vale win (54%). Probabilities: Port Vale 54%, draw 27%, Rochdale 20%.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Port Vale 1.53 · Rochdale 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.