Prediction: Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield
Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Chesterfield
- Bristol Rovers2-3Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-1Bristol Rovers
- Bristol Rovers2-0Chesterfield
- Bristol Rovers2-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-2Bristol Rovers
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chesterfield (rating 1454 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Chesterfield: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol Rovers 2–0–3 Chesterfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England League 2 | Bristol Rovers | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Chesterfield |
| 16/08/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bristol Rovers |
| 29/07/23 Club Friendly List | Bristol Rovers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 18/03/17 England League 1 | Bristol Rovers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Chesterfield |
| 26/11/16 England League 1 | Chesterfield | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Bristol Rovers |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Crewe | 1-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chesterfield (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/10 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
5-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 20/10 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chesterfield win (38%). Probabilities: Bristol Rovers 35%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 38%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Bristol Rovers 1.53 · Chesterfield 1.6), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.