Football · England League 2 · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere

Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Tranmere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Fleetwood Town1.34

Tranmere0.92

1X2

46% 28% 25%

Fleetwood Town Draw Tranmere

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Fleetwood Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDWLLW

Tranmere 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDLDLWDW

Head-to-head

Fleetwood Town 2–3–1 Tranmere (6 last)

Fleetwood Town0-0Tranmere
Tranmere1-0Fleetwood Town
Tranmere0-3Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town0-0Tranmere
Tranmere0-0Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town2-0Tranmere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1480 · Tranmere 1498

	Fleetwood Town	Draw	Tranmere
Our model	45%	30%	24%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fleetwood Town	Tranmere
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.67
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +11’	1.95	3.40	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +320’	1.88	3.67	3.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 2–3–1 Tranmere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England League 2	Fleetwood Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Tranmere
26/12/25 England League 2	Tranmere	1-0 HT 1-0	Fleetwood Town
02/12/25 England EFL Trophy	Tranmere	0-3 HT 0-0	Fleetwood Town
22/03/25 England League 2	Fleetwood Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Tranmere
11/02/25 England League 2	Tranmere	0-0 HT 0-0	Fleetwood Town
05/09/23 England EFL Trophy	Fleetwood Town	2-0 HT 0-0	Tranmere

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Salford City	14	10	1	3	25	15	31
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	28	18	26
3	Walsall	13	5	7	1	21	12	22
4	Crewe	14	5	7	2	17	17	22
5	Cheltenham	14	6	3	5	23	25	21
6	Grimsby	14	5	5	4	24	18	20
7	York	14	5	5	4	24	21	20
8	Gillingham	14	5	5	4	20	19	20
9	Accrington Stanley	14	4	7	3	23	17	19
10	Chesterfield	14	5	4	5	24	21	19
11	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	19	17	19
12	Exeter	14	5	4	5	11	9	19
13	Swindon	14	5	4	5	15	17	19
14	Newport County	14	4	6	4	20	17	18
15	Shrewsbury	14	5	3	6	17	22	18
16	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	18	18	17
17	Bristol Rovers	14	5	1	8	17	23	16
18	Oldham	14	4	3	7	15	19	15
19	Port Vale	12	4	3	5	10	14	15
20	Rochdale	14	4	3	7	17	26	15
21	Northampton	13	3	5	5	9	10	14
22	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	18	25	12
23	Colchester	13	2	6	5	12	19	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	13	21	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fleetwood Town	Tranmere
Exeter	1-2 L	0-0 D
Cheltenham	2-4 L	3-1 W
Walsall	1-1 D	1-1 D
Rochdale	1-2 L	1-1 D
Barnet	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tranmere (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fleetwood Town

WDLLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bristol Rovers England League 2	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
24/10	Exeter England League 2	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
20/10	Cheltenham England League 2	0-3	2-4	5	5	L
17/10	Rotherham England League 2	0-0	2-0	9	8	W
10/10	Walsall England League 2	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
03/10	Salford City England League 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/09	Rochdale England League 2	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
19/09	Barnet England League 2	1-1	1-3	6	6	L
12/09	Newport County England League 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Shrewsbury England League 2	1-0	2-0	3	8	W

Tranmere

WLDDLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cheltenham England League 2	3-1	3-1	1	4	W
24/10	Crawley Town England League 2	0-0	1-1	15	3	D
20/10	Northampton England League 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
17/10	Barnet England League 2	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
10/10	Rochdale England League 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
03/10	Chesterfield England League 2	0-1	2-4	1	6	L
26/09	Walsall England League 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
19/09	Exeter England League 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
12/09	Gillingham England League 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
05/09	Oldham England League 2	1-0	2-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (46%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 46%, draw 28%, Tranmere 25%.

How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.34 · Tranmere 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.