Prediction: Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley
Team pages: Port Vale · Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-2Port Vale
- Port Vale2-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley2-2Port Vale
- Accrington Stanley3-0Port Vale
- Port Vale1-1Accrington Stanley
- Port Vale5-1Accrington Stanley
| Port Vale | Draw | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Port Vale: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port Vale | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port Vale 3–2–1 Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/25 England EFL Trophy | Accrington Stanley | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Port Vale |
| 01/02/25 England League 2 | Port Vale | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 21/09/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Port Vale |
| 07/04/23 England League 1 | Accrington Stanley | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Port Vale |
| 07/02/23 England League 1 | Port Vale | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 06/11/21 England FA Cup | Port Vale | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Accrington Stanley |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port Vale | Accrington Stanley |
|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 4-2 W | 5-0 W |
| York | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Gillingham | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Swindon | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Accrington Stanley (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port Vale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rochdale England League 2 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Northampton England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Rochdale England League 2 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Port Vale win (47%). Probabilities: Port Vale 47%, draw 29%, Accrington Stanley 24%.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Port Vale 1.38 · Accrington Stanley 0.9), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.