Prediction: Shrewsbury vs Oldham
Team pages: Shrewsbury · Oldham
- Shrewsbury1-0Oldham
- Oldham2-2Shrewsbury
- Oldham1-0Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury2-1Oldham
- Shrewsbury1-0Oldham
- Oldham1-2Shrewsbury
| Shrewsbury | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shrewsbury (rating 1513 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Shrewsbury: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shrewsbury | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shrewsbury 4–1–1 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 25/10/25 England League 2 | Oldham | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 03/08/24 Club Friendly List | Oldham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 23/01/18 England EFL Trophy | Shrewsbury | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 01/01/18 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 16/09/17 England League 1 | Oldham | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Shrewsbury |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shrewsbury | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Northampton | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shrewsbury (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 20/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/10 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shrewsbury win (36%). Probabilities: Shrewsbury 36%, draw 29%, Oldham 36%.
How many goals are expected in Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Shrewsbury 1.23 · Oldham 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.