Prediction: AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Doncaster
- AFC Wimbledon0-1Doncaster
- Doncaster1-2AFC Wimbledon
- Doncaster1-1AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon1-0Doncaster
- Doncaster1-0AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon2-0Doncaster
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Doncaster (rating 1420 vs 1478).
- H2H favours AFC Wimbledon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Wimbledon | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.5 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Wimbledon 3–1–2 Doncaster
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 20/09/25 England League 1 | Doncaster | 1-2 HT 0-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 12/04/25 England League 2 | Doncaster | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 14/12/24 England League 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Doncaster |
| 24/02/24 England League 2 | Doncaster | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 11/11/23 England League 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton Albion | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 17 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Wimbledon | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Reading | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Plymouth | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Doncaster (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/04 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Luton England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Doncaster win (36%). Probabilities: AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 29%, Doncaster 36%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster?
The model expects 2.38 goals (AFC Wimbledon 1.18 · Doncaster 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.