Football · England League 1 · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Peterborough vs Doncaster

Team pages: Peterborough · Doncaster

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Peterborough1.46
Doncaster1.4
1X2
38% 27% 35%
Peterborough Draw Doncaster
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLLWLDLD
Doncaster 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWLDDDLL
Head-to-head
Peterborough 2–1–3 Doncaster (6 last)
  • Peterborough1-3Doncaster
  • Doncaster2-1Peterborough
  • Peterborough2-1Doncaster
  • Doncaster1-4Peterborough
  • Peterborough2-2Doncaster
  • Peterborough0-3Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough 1467 · Doncaster 1464
PeterboroughDrawDoncaster
Our model38%27%35%
Market38%27%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Doncaster: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterboroughDoncaster
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.71.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.60.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.21.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.14 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough 213 Doncaster

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
England League 1
Peterborough1-3
HT 0-0
Doncaster
29/11/25
England League 1
Doncaster2-1
HT 2-0
Peterborough
02/12/23
England FA Cup
Peterborough2-1
HT 1-0
Doncaster
09/05/21
England League 1
Doncaster1-4
HT 0-4
Peterborough
27/04/21
England League 1
Peterborough2-2
HT 2-1
Doncaster
26/12/19
England League 1
Peterborough0-3
HT 0-1
Doncaster

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sheff Wed 6411 13613
2 Huddersfield 6330 10412
3 Bradford 6402 6412
4 Cambridge Utd 6321 11911
5 Oxford Utd 5311 12610
6 Plymouth 6312 10810
7 AFC Wimbledon 6312 5710
8 Stockport 6303 16109
9 Stevenage 6231 1179
10 Blackpool 6222 1198
11 Burton Albion 6222 10108
12 Luton 6222 12138
13 Leicester 6222 8108
14 Reading 5212 1277
15 Leyton Orient 6213 1297
16 Notts County 6141 777
17 Mansfield 6213 8117
18 Barnsley 6213 6117
19 Wycombe 6132 10146
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6051 8105
21 Peterborough 6123 4105
22 Bromley 6123 6175
23 Wigan 6114 5114
24 Doncaster 6033 693

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterboroughDoncaster
Stevenage 0-0 D 2-2 D
Mansfield 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Peterborough (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterborough

DLDLLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
0-1 1-1 92 D
05/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-1 1-2 45 L
01/09 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
29/08 Blackpool
England League 1
0-2 0-4 50 L
22/08 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
15/08 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-2 35 L
02/05 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 1-3 64 L
28/04 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
25/04 Stockport
England League 1
1-1 1-3 73 L
19/04 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-1 1-1 43 D

Doncaster

WLDWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-1 0-1 67 L
05/09 Plymouth
England League 1
0-1 2-3 73 L
01/09 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 1-1 45 D
29/08 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 2-2 93 D
22/08 Barnsley
England League 1
0-0 0-0 42 D
15/08 Mansfield
England League 1
0-1 1-2 13 L
02/05 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 3-1 34 W
25/04 Stevenage
England League 1
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
0-1 0-2 13 L
18/04 Northampton
England League 1
0-0 3-1 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough vs Doncaster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough win (38%). Probabilities: Peterborough 38%, draw 27%, Doncaster 35%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough vs Doncaster?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Peterborough 1.46 · Doncaster 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Doncaster?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.