Football · England League 1 · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Wigan vs Wycombe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Wigan1.42
Wycombe1.41
1X2
Wigan
Draw
Wycombe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Wycombe
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan
0–1–5
Wycombe
(6 last)
- Wycombe2-0Wigan
- Wigan0-1Wycombe
- Wigan0-2Wycombe
- Wycombe0-0Wigan
- Wigan0-1Wycombe
- Wycombe1-0Wigan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan 1424 · Wycombe 1499
| Wigan | Draw | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wycombe (rating 1424 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Wycombe: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 3.4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan 0–1–5 Wycombe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England League 1 | Wycombe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wigan |
| 11/10/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wycombe |
| 23/09/25 England EFL Cup | Wigan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wycombe |
| 22/02/25 England League 1 | Wycombe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wigan |
| 09/11/24 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wycombe |
| 12/03/24 England League 1 | Wycombe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wigan |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Bradford | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Stockport | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 22 | Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 5 |
| 23 | Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 24 | Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wigan | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Wed | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Stockport | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Leyton Orient | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Rotherham | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigan (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan vs Wycombe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan win (37%). Probabilities: Wigan 37%, draw 27%, Wycombe 36%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Wycombe?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Wigan 1.42 · Wycombe 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan vs Wycombe?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.