Prediction: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
Team pages: Leyton Orient · Stevenage
- Stevenage1-2Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient2-3Stevenage
- Leyton Orient1-0Stevenage
- Leyton Orient0-1Stevenage
- Stevenage0-0Leyton Orient
- Stevenage0-1Leyton Orient
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stevenage (rating 1458 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Leyton Orient: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leyton Orient | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyton Orient 3–1–2 Stevenage
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England League 1 | Stevenage | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Leyton Orient |
| 27/09/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Stevenage |
| 27/03/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stevenage |
| 21/01/25 England EFL Trophy | Leyton Orient | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stevenage |
| 23/11/24 England League 1 | Stevenage | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 16/03/24 England League 1 | Stevenage | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Leyton Orient |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Bradford | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Stockport | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 6 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 22 | Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 5 |
| 23 | Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 24 | Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leyton Orient | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Barnsley | 1-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Wigan | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Burton Albion | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Stevenage (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyton Orient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
Stevenage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Luton England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 13/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leyton Orient win (37%). Probabilities: Leyton Orient 37%, draw 29%, Stevenage 34%.
How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Leyton Orient 1.3 · Stevenage 1.23), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.