Prediction: Plymouth vs Barnsley
Team pages: Plymouth · Barnsley
- Barnsley0-3Plymouth
- Plymouth1-3Barnsley
- Barnsley3-0Plymouth
- Plymouth1-0Barnsley
- Plymouth0-3Barnsley
- Barnsley1-1Plymouth
| Plymouth | Draw | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth (rating 1572 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Barnsley: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plymouth | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.7 | 3.6 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth 2–1–3 Barnsley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Plymouth |
| 02/08/25 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Barnsley |
| 11/03/23 England League 1 | Barnsley | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Plymouth |
| 30/07/22 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barnsley |
| 22/04/19 England League 1 | Plymouth | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Barnsley |
| 02/10/18 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Plymouth |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton Albion | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 17 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plymouth | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Bradford | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Stockport | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Northampton | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plymouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plymouth vs Barnsley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth win (55%). Probabilities: Plymouth 55%, draw 24%, Barnsley 21%.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Barnsley?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Plymouth 1.98 · Barnsley 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Plymouth vs Barnsley?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.